Why do these add up to more than 100%?

Because these outcomes are independent rather than competing. Several of them can happen at once, so their probabilities do not have to sum to 100%.

How often do these odds update?

Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.

58 independent outcomes · $773.5K traded · updated 3 days ago

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

These outcomes are independent — they do not compete, and more than one can happen. That is why the percentages here add up to more than 100%.

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