← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 2 wk. ago
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Politics
2 %
chance
▼ −1.7%24h▼ −1.7%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
50 outcomes- Gavin Newsom17 %
- Kamala Harris14 %
- Pete Buttigieg14 %
- Candace Owens13 %
- Josh Hawley13 %
- Tucker Carlson12 %
- Andy Beshear12 %
- Steve Bannon12 %
- Marjorie Taylor Greene12 %
- Rahm Emanuel12 %
- Ted Cruz11 %
- Mark Kelly11 %
- Mark Cuban11 %
- Cory Booker10 %
- Liz Cheney10 %
- Brian Kemp10 %
- Marco Rubio10 %
- Beto O’Rourke9 %
- Andrew Yang9 %
- J.B. Pritzker9 %
- Stephen A. Smith9 %
- Donald Trump9 %
- Rand Paul9 %
- Raphael Warnock9 %
- Greg Abbott9 %
- Matt Gaetz9 %
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8 %
- John Thune8 %
- Hunter Biden7 %
- John Fetterman7 %
- Don Lemon7 %
- Ivanka Trump6 %
- Tom Brady6 %
- Oprah Winfrey6 %
- Gretchen Whitmer6 %
- Erika Kirk6 %
- Tulsi Gabbard6 %
- Tim Walz6 %
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.5 %
- Elise Stefanik5 %
- Josh Shapiro5 %
- Elon Musk5 %
- Gina Raimondo4 %
- Kristi Noem4 %
- Jon Stewart4 %
- Wes Moore3 %
- Zohran Mamdani3 %
- Michelle Obama3 %
- Phil Murphy2 %
- Barack Obama2 %
Total volume
$10K
24h vol.
$2.8K
1w vol.
$2.8K
1m vol.
$2.8K
Liquidity
$42.7K
Bid / Ask
2¢ / 2¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
Nov 19, 2025
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 5 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Bids (buy)Size
2¢$28
2¢$464
2¢$626
2¢$240
2¢$3,456
1¢$4,444
1¢$617
1¢$455
1¢$1,380
1¢$556
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$49
3¢$100
3¢$39
3¢$225
3¢$300
4¢$448
4¢$361
4¢$1,248
4¢$873
4¢$2,577
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 69%Sells 31%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 7 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 7 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 49 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 21 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 11 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 148 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 138 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 27 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 23 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 65 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 65 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 85 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 85 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 70 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 148 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 148 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 19 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 19 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 19 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 19 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 1,816 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 80 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 50 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.