Q: Who is the favourite in Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026??

<40 is the current favourite at 87 %, ahead of 4 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.

Q: What do these odds actually mean?

Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.

Q: How often do these odds update?

Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.

Question 1

Who is the favourite in Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026??

Accepted Answer

<40 is the current favourite at 87 %, ahead of 4 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.

Question 2

What do these odds actually mean?

Accepted Answer

Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.

Question 3

How often do these odds update?

Accepted Answer

Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? odds

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