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Updated 2 min. ago

85 %
chance
Total volume
$94.4K
24h vol.
$77.6K
1w vol.
$94.4K
1m vol.
$94.4K
Liquidity
$5.8K
Bid / Ask
84¢ / 85¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
85¢
Start date
Aug 8, 2026
End date
Aug 12, 2026
ends in 7 hr.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 min. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 6 |
| 26 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 0 |
| 26 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 6 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 63 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 44 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 19 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 47 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 31 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 16 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 20 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 20 |
| 38 min. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 10 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 10 |
| 40 min. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 1 |
| 40 min. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 1 |
| 41 min. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 14 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 14 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 48 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 48 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 12 |
| 50 min. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 8 |
| 50 min. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 4 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 124 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 80 |
| 53 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 44 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 50 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 6 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 44 |
| 58 min. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 49 |
| 58 min. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 49 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 28 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 28 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 263 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 99 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 14 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 41 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 41 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 86 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 36 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.