← Dashboard · Sports
Updated 1 min. ago
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Other
46 %
chance
▼ −0.2%24h▲ +5.3%1W
Yes 46¢No 54¢
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
31 outcomes- Harry Kane46 %
- Lamine Yamal24 %
- Kylian Mbappé11 %
- Rodri10 %
- Lionel Messi4 %
- Ousmane Dembélé1 %
- Fabian Ruiz1 %
- Pau Cubarsi1 %
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1 %
- Erling Haaland0 %
- Michael Olise0 %
- Jude Bellingham0 %
- Lautaro Martinez0 %
- Julian Alvarez0 %
- Pedri0 %
- Declan Rice0 %
- Cristiano Ronaldo0 %
- Achraf Hakimi0 %
- Federico Valverde0 %
- Vinícius Júnior0 %
- Bruno Fernandes0 %
- Vitinha0 %
- Raphinha0 %
- Luis Diaz0 %
- Mohamed Salah0 %
- Cole Palmer0 %
- Desire Doue0 %
- Dominik Szoboszlai0 %
- Bukayo Saka0 %
- Enzo Fernandez0 %
- Rodrygo0 %
Total volume
$2.6M
24h vol.
$90.2K
1w vol.
$573.7K
1m vol.
$1.8M
Liquidity
$413.6K
Bid / Ask
46¢ / 46¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
46¢
Start date
Sep 22, 2025
End date
Oct 31, 2026
ends in 3 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Bids (buy)Size
46¢$14,612
46¢$50,296
46¢$2,061
46¢$440
45¢$1,000
45¢$1,720
45¢$2,500
45¢$11,220
45¢$2,824
45¢$196,100
Asks (sell)Size
46¢$5,324
46¢$1,633
46¢$491
46¢$946
46¢$96
46¢$80
47¢$50
47¢$320
47¢$550
47¢$200
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 64%Sells 36%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 min. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 9 |
| 38 min. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 9 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 11 |
| 53 min. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 11 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 9 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 9 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 65 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 65 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 7 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 11 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 11 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 2,063 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 2,063 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 338 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 338 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 554 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 554 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 3 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 3 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 1,284 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 1,284 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 11 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 240 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 240 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 2 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 2 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 2 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 2 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 92 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 92 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.