← Dashboard · Sports
Updated 5 min. ago
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Other
24 %
chance
▼ −0.5%24h▼ −2.4%1W
Yes 24¢No 76¢
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
31 outcomes- Harry Kane46 %
- Lamine Yamal24 %
- Kylian Mbappé11 %
- Rodri10 %
- Lionel Messi4 %
- Ousmane Dembélé1 %
- Fabian Ruiz1 %
- Pau Cubarsi1 %
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1 %
- Erling Haaland0 %
- Michael Olise0 %
- Jude Bellingham0 %
- Federico Valverde0 %
- Achraf Hakimi0 %
- Vinícius Júnior0 %
- Bruno Fernandes0 %
- Cole Palmer0 %
- Declan Rice0 %
- Lautaro Martinez0 %
- Cristiano Ronaldo0 %
- Pedri0 %
- Vitinha0 %
- Raphinha0 %
- Julian Alvarez0 %
- Luis Diaz0 %
- Mohamed Salah0 %
- Desire Doue0 %
- Rodrygo0 %
- Dominik Szoboszlai0 %
- Bukayo Saka0 %
- Enzo Fernandez0 %
Total volume
$1.5M
24h vol.
$21.1K
1w vol.
$274.9K
1m vol.
$1.4M
Liquidity
$303.7K
Bid / Ask
24¢ / 25¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
24¢
Start date
Sep 22, 2025
End date
Oct 31, 2026
ends in 3 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Bids (buy)Size
24¢$2,714
24¢$443
24¢$2,756
24¢$2,967
24¢$602
24¢$1,338
24¢$3,075
24¢$14,813
23¢$87,232
23¢$5,000
Asks (sell)Size
25¢$43,109
25¢$601
25¢$510
25¢$1,000
25¢$10,540
25¢$270
25¢$650
25¢$2,900
26¢$8,295
26¢$50
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 30%Sells 70%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 min. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 37 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 37 |
| 38 min. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 67 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 67 |
| 45 min. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 6 |
| 45 min. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 6 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 20 |
| 56 min. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 2,152 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 8 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 6 |
| 56 min. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 2,138 |
| 58 min. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 4 |
| 58 min. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 4 |
| 58 min. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 50 |
| 58 min. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 40 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 40 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 531 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 531 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 8 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 8 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 1,500 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 1,500 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 0 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 0 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 42 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 42 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 22 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 22 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 15 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 15 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 100 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 100 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 400 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 400 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 4 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 4 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 4 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 4 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.