Who is the favourite in # of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look on day 1? (Lower Strikes)?
<10M is the current favourite at 66 %, ahead of 6 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
What do these odds actually mean?
Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
How often do these odds update?
Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Nothing on Market Guy is financial advice — it is research tooling to help you think, not a signal to trade.