← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 2 min. ago

90 %
chance
Total volume
$412.4K
24h vol.
$158.4K
1w vol.
$345.5K
1m vol.
$384.4K
Liquidity
$119.1K
Bid / Ask
89¢ / 90¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
90¢
Start date
Dec 19, 2025
End date
Aug 4, 2026
ends 21 hr. ago
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 22 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 22 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 84 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 84 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 337 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 194 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 143 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 34 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 34 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 1,694 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 49 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 50 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 50 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 10 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 30 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 700 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 100 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 500 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 50 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 78 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 77 |
| 21 min. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 240 |
| 21 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 4 |
| 21 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 81 |
| 21 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 81 |
| 21 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 73 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 8 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 8 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 2,261 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 30 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 500 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 30 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 10 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 500 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 500 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 77 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 77 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 77 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 77 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 383 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 100 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 100 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 400 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 400 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 170 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 117 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 10 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 30 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 13 |
| 27 min. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 499 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.