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Updated 2 days ago

86 %
chance
Total volume
$1M
24h vol.
$41.6K
1w vol.
$130.2K
1m vol.
$196K
Liquidity
$36K
Bid / Ask
85¢ / 86¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
86¢
Start date
Dec 9, 2025
End date
Dec 6, 2026
ends in 4 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 84¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 4 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 3 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 3 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 2 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 2 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 84¢ | 24 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 24 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 17 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 17 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 47 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 17 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 84¢ | 150 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 38 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 40 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 22 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 84¢ | 80 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 19 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 53 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 7 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 2,062 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 143 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 40 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 40 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 40 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 600 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 201 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 24 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 500 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 335 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 43 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 43 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 0 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 0 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 23 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.