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Updated 5 days ago
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Other
6 %
chance
▲ +0.7%24h▼ −0.4%1W
Yes 6¢No 94¢
Total volume
$307.4K
24h vol.
$27.9K
1w vol.
$33.7K
1m vol.
$56.4K
Liquidity
$21.9K
Bid / Ask
5¢ / 8¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
7¢
Start date
Dec 8, 2025
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 4 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Bids (buy)Size
5¢$12
5¢$37
5¢$63
5¢$4,000
5¢$213
4¢$4,000
4¢$7
4¢$10
3¢$19
3¢$2,494
Asks (sell)Size
8¢$15
8¢$27
8¢$96
8¢$338
8¢$250
9¢$88
9¢$149
14¢$45
14¢$250
14¢$205
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 4%Sells 96%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 days ago | Sell | 92¢ | 10 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 8¢ | 2 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 8¢ | 8 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 93¢ | 72 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 3 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 11 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 40 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 9 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 9 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 79 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 1 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 8 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 69 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 30 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 30 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 307 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 93¢ | 13 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 92¢ | 20 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 92¢ | 10 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 92¢ | 7 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 92¢ | 8 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 25 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 92¢ | 165 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 30 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 6 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 92¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 6 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 7 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 91¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 92¢ | 25 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 7 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 8 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 10 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 40 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 40 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 97 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 93¢ | 97 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 2 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 60¢ | 27,265 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 191 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 89¢ | 1,646 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 60¢ | 2,151 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 56¢ | 7,231 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 44¢ | 146 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 44¢ | 679 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 44¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 42¢ | 50 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.