← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 wk. ago
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Other
61 %
chance
▼ −1.0%1h▲ +50.0%24h▲ +51.0%1W
Yes 61¢No 40¢
Total volume
$2.2M
24h vol.
$640.7K
1w vol.
$831.4K
1m vol.
$1.5M
Liquidity
$62K
Bid / Ask
60¢ / 61¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
59¢
Start date
Nov 13, 2025
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 5 mo.
Orderbook
Bids (buy)Size
99¢$313,946
90¢$7,100
65¢$100
63¢$9,000
62¢$200
61¢$3,008
36¢$633
31¢$468
30¢$286
29¢$2,241
Asks (sell)Size
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 55%Sells 45%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 13 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 13 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 463 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 300 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 63 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 250 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 250 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 1,111 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 566 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 432 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 13 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 4 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 96 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 3 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 3 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 152 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 152 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 81 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 81 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 0 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 0 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 308 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 200 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 108 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 15 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 8 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 0 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 8 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 4 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.