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Updated 3 days ago

42 %
chance
Total volume
$1.6M
24h vol.
$4.9K
1w vol.
$11.1K
1m vol.
$116.7K
Liquidity
$158.6K
Bid / Ask
41¢ / 42¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
42¢
Start date
Jul 11, 2025
End date
Nov 3, 2026
ends in 3 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 15 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 15 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 59 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 59 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 3 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 3 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 17 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 17 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 61 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 61 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 17 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 17 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 61 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 61 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 12 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 12 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 4 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 4 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 16 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 16 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 2 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 2 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 26,638 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 68 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 459 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 280 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 95 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 10,101 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.