← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 3 min. ago
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics
1 %
chance
▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
50 outcomes- Gavin Newsom19 %
- Jon Ossoff13 %
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13 %
- Kamala Harris9 %
- Pete Buttigieg6 %
- Josh Shapiro5 %
- Mark Kelly3 %
- Andy Beshear2 %
- Rahm Emanuel2 %
- Jon Stewart2 %
- Ro Khanna2 %
- Gretchen Whitmer2 %
- Wes Moore1 %
- James Talarico1 %
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1 %
- J.B. Pritzker1 %
- Michelle Obama1 %
- Stephen A. Smith1 %
- Chelsea Clinton1 %
- Mark Cuban1 %
- Roy Cooper1 %
- Bernie Sanders1 %
- Raphael Warnock1 %
- Jasmine Crockett1 %
- Cory Booker1 %
- Hunter Biden1 %
- Chris Murphy1 %
- Oprah Winfrey0 %
- LeBron James0 %
- Ruben Gallego0 %
- Zohran Mamdani0 %
- Beto O’Rourke0 %
- John Fetterman0 %
- Elissa Slotkin0 %
- Hillary Clinton0 %
- Phil Murphy0 %
- Graham Platner0 %
- Barack Obama0 %
- George Clooney0 %
- Liz Cheney0 %
- Gina Raimondo0 %
- Tim Walz0 %
- Andrew Yang0 %
- Jared Polis0 %
- MrBeast0 %
- Kim Kardashian0 %
- Adam Schiff0 %
- Alex Padilla0 %
- Abigail Spanberger0 %
- Hakeem Jeffries0 %
Total volume
$31.9M
24h vol.
$15.4K
1w vol.
$79.2K
1m vol.
$461.4K
Liquidity
$1.8M
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 1¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
1¢
Start date
Jul 11, 2025
End date
Nov 7, 2028
ends in 2 yr.
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Bids (buy)Size
1¢$89,849
0¢$1,103,786
0¢$511,111
0¢$530,253
0¢$1,096,638
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$48,440
1¢$83,806
1¢$1,272,757
1¢$416
1¢$2,001
1¢$10,000
2¢$1,749
2¢$1,000
3¢$250
4¢$1,000
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 50%Sells 50%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 9 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 9 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 9 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 9 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 7 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 7 |
| 34 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 7 |
| 34 min. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 7 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 8 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 2 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 2 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 6 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 6 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 6 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 6 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 0 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 0 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 1 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 1 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 0 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 0 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 0 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 0 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 2 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 2 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.