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Updated just now

81 %
chance
Total volume
$65.5K
24h vol.
$34.6K
1w vol.
$65.5K
1m vol.
$65.5K
Liquidity
$8.3K
Bid / Ask
79¢ / 82¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
80¢
Start date
Aug 20, 2026
End date
Aug 24, 2026
ends in 3 hr.
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 69 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 69 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 20 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 10 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 10 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 29 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 29 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 7 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 7 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 108 |
| 51 min. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 39 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 10 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 10 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 10 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 39 |
| 52 min. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 81 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 19 |
| 52 min. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 12 |
| 52 min. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 50 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 5 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 5 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 61 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 8 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 48 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 5 |
| 58 min. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 12 |
| 58 min. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 2 |
| 58 min. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 9 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 9 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 71 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 41 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 29 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 71 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 21 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 75 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 25 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 30 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 12 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 18 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 26 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 25 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 23 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.