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Updated 2 min. ago

36 %
chance
Total volume
$3.3M
24h vol.
$3.3M
1w vol.
$3.4M
1m vol.
$3.4M
Liquidity
$177.4K
Bid / Ask
35¢ / 37¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
34¢
Start date
Aug 16, 2026
End date
Aug 20, 2026
ends in 3 hr.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 7,500 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 6,065 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 35 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 140 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 710 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 544 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 6 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 16 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 14 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 2 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 98 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 98 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 16 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 16 |
| 12 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 367 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 367 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 210 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 136 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 20 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 54 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 1,559 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 212 |
| 12 min. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 200 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 10 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 35 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 20 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 500 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 100 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 140 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 342 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 2,854 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 1,061 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 5 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 1,788 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 23 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 23 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 50 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 50 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 2 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 2 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 19 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 19 |
| 12 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 13 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 13 |
| 12 min. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 6 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 6 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 5 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 5 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 500 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 500 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.