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Updated 15 hr. ago

51 %
chance
Total volume
$998.662
24h vol.
$973.212
1w vol.
$998.662
1m vol.
$998.662
Liquidity
$16.2K
Bid / Ask
50¢ / 51¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
51¢
Start date
Aug 16, 2026
End date
Aug 24, 2026
ends in 6 days
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (29)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 20 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 20 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 137 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 116 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 5 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 16 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 51¢ | 98 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 49¢ | 98 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 51¢ | 137 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 49¢ | 9 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 49¢ | 129 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 51¢ | 9 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 49¢ | 9 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 50¢ | 200 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 50¢ | 81 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 50¢ | 30 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 50¢ | 78 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 50¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 50¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 52¢ | 385 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 48¢ | 332 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 48¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 48¢ | 17 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 49¢ | 31 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 51¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 49¢ | 1 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 49¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 52¢ | 25 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 48¢ | 25 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.