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Updated just now

52 %
chance
Total volume
$173.8K
24h vol.
$173.6K
1w vol.
$173.8K
1m vol.
$173.8K
Liquidity
$348K
Bid / Ask
51¢ / 52¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
52¢
Start date
Aug 11, 2026
End date
Aug 24, 2026
ends in 7 hr.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 33 |
| 7 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 33 |
| 9 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 30 |
| 9 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 30 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 19 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 19 |
| 13 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 2 |
| 13 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 2 |
| 13 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 2 |
| 13 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 2 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 96 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 96 |
| 15 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 10 |
| 15 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 10 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 6 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 6 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 2 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 2 |
| 40 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 225 |
| 40 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 225 |
| 40 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 225 |
| 40 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 225 |
| 44 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 8 |
| 44 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 8 |
| 44 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 2 |
| 44 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 2 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 2 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 2 |
| 58 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 106 |
| 58 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 106 |
| 60 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 54 |
| 60 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 54 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 4 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 4 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 4 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 4 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 19 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 19 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 4 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 4 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 2 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 2 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 12 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 12 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 14 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 14 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.