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Updated just now

50 %
chance
Total volume
$445.4K
24h vol.
$445.4K
1w vol.
$445.4K
1m vol.
$445.4K
Liquidity
$29.9K
Bid / Ask
49¢ / 50¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
49¢
Start date
Aug 8, 2026
End date
Aug 9, 2026
ends 10 min. ago
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 40 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 40 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 4 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 4 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 10 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 10 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 9 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 9 |
| 57 min. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 10 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 10 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 59 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 59 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 22 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 22 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 21 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 21 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 53 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 53 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 2 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 2 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 10 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 10 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 10 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 10 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 80,000 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 21,207 |
| 57 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 297 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 3,000 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 41 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 12 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 22,222 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 9,412 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 20 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 135 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 780 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 800 |
| 57 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 21,890 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 5 |
| 57 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 100 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 80 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20,000 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 20,000 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 35 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 35 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20,000 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 20,000 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 6,000 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 6,000 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.