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Updated 3 days ago

100 %
chance
Total volume
$67.2K
24h vol.
$67.2K
1w vol.
$67.2K
1m vol.
$67.2K
Liquidity
$111K
Bid / Ask
100¢ / 100¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
100¢
Start date
Aug 7, 2026
End date
Aug 15, 2026
ends in 4 days
Failed to load orderbook: Polymarket request failed (404) for https://clob.polymarket.com/book?token_id=17986352615786988909926629739183877325188296302702043947069732774791422014361
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 4 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 4 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 227 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 227 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 256 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 256 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 297 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 297 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 60 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 60 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 76 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 76 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 2,374 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2,374 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 838 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 838 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1,659 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 447 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,212 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 7 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 7 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1,897 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 954 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 944 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 412 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 412 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 18 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 18 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 3 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 3 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 55 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 45 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 125 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 96¢ | 125 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 96¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 2 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.