← Dashboard · Politics
Updated just now
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Other
81 %
chance
▼ −8.0%24h▼ −7.0%1W
Yes 81¢No 19¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
4 outcomes- August 3195 %
- September 3081 %
- December 3171 %
- October 3167 %
Total volume
$420.2K
24h vol.
$114.5K
1w vol.
$184.2K
1m vol.
$420.2K
Liquidity
$42.3K
Bid / Ask
80¢ / 81¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
80¢
Start date
Aug 7, 2026
End date
Sep 30, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Bids (buy)Size
82¢$60
81¢$6,012
80¢$3,140
78¢$244
77¢$205
76¢$200
75¢$200
74¢$200
73¢$200
72¢$830
Asks (sell)Size
83¢$18
84¢$116
85¢$3,034
86¢$1,585
87¢$3,751
88¢$14
89¢$107
90¢$825
91¢$5,176
92¢$3,631
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 71%Sells 29%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 min. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 5 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 5 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 4 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 4 |
| 45 min. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 24 |
| 45 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 9 |
| 45 min. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 10 |
| 45 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 5 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 1 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 1 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 428 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 47 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 5 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 65 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 10 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 10 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 10 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 10 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 10 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 10 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 10 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 201 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 20 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 10 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 10 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 29 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 16 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 13 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 16 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 16 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 39 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 10 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 10 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 5 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 0 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 14 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 330 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 6 |
| 49 min. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 40 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 5 |
| 49 min. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 6 |
| 49 min. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 216 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 10 |
| 49 min. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 37 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 10 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 18 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 1 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 17 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 6 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 6 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.