← Dashboard · Politics
Updated just now

14 %
chance
Total volume
$473.9K
24h vol.
$109.3K
1w vol.
$217.9K
1m vol.
$473.9K
Liquidity
$27K
Bid / Ask
14¢ / 15¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
14¢
Start date
Aug 4, 2026
End date
Sep 1, 2026
ends in 5 days
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 8 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 63 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 49 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 13 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 634 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 201 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 12 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 18 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 6 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 250 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 15 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 27 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 27 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 6 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 6 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 87 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 72 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 15 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 35 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 35 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 155 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 155 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 10,738 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 315 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 499 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 25 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 3,896 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 3,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 7 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 60 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 9 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.