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Updated 2 min. ago

62 %
chance
Total volume
$141.9K
24h vol.
$141.4K
1w vol.
$141.9K
1m vol.
$141.9K
Liquidity
$261.2K
Bid / Ask
61¢ / 62¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
62¢
Start date
Aug 1, 2026
End date
Aug 15, 2026
ends in 1 wk.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 min. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 8 |
| 38 min. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 8 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 12 |
| 38 min. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 12 |
| 45 min. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 63 |
| 45 min. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 63 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 8 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 8 |
| 53 min. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 839 |
| 53 min. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 839 |
| 56 min. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 8 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 8 |
| 58 min. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 282 |
| 58 min. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 282 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 12 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 12 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 3 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 3 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 110 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 110 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 14 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 14 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 169 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 169 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 3 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 3 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 141 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 102 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 39 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 124 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 61 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 16 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 27 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 62 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 62 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 256 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 236 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 13 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 13 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 21 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 21 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 3 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.