← Dashboard · Tech
Updated 2 days ago
Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Tech
8 %
chance
▲ +1.0%1h▼ −19.5%24h▼ −39.0%1W
Yes 8¢No 92¢
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
3 outcomes- Google33 %
- Alibaba22 %
- OpenAI8 %
Total volume
$4K
24h vol.
$1.7K
1w vol.
$3.3K
1m vol.
$4K
Liquidity
$1.7K
Bid / Ask
7¢ / 9¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
5¢
Start date
Jul 21, 2026
End date
Aug 31, 2026
ends in 3 wk.
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Bids (buy)Size
5¢$122
4¢$200
3¢$5
1¢$0
Asks (sell)Size
9¢$158
10¢$143
12¢$9
14¢$395
26¢$20
27¢$40
28¢$25
33¢$385
34¢$95
35¢$120
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 51%Sells 49%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 90¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 6 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 90¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 1¢ | 155 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 150 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 12¢ | 48 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 12¢ | 8 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 12¢ | 40 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 439 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 48 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 155 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 134 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 80 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 62 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 12 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 84¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 23¢ | 31 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 21¢ | 6 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 76¢ | 0 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 24¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 76¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 25¢ | 780 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 76¢ | 16 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 62 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 35 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 12 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 75 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 25 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 62 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 75¢ | 38 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 395 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 8 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 75¢ | 8 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 76¢ | 62 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 76¢ | 62 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.