← Dashboard · Geopolitics
Updated 23 hr. ago
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Tech
72 %
chance
▼ −1.0%24h▲ +8.0%1W
Yes 72¢No 28¢
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
5 outcomes- Alibaba72 %
- Moonshot14 %
- DeepSeek7 %
- ByteDance1 %
Total volume
$20.1K
24h vol.
$4.3K
1w vol.
$11.8K
1m vol.
$20.1K
Liquidity
$3.6K
Bid / Ask
71¢ / 73¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
68¢
Start date
Jul 20, 2026
End date
Sep 30, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Bids (buy)Size
71¢$345
70¢$167
69¢$392
66¢$164
65¢$5
64¢$10
63¢$75
62¢$70
60¢$30
56¢$124
Asks (sell)Size
73¢$40
74¢$161
75¢$180
76¢$50
77¢$40
78¢$60
79¢$167
80¢$265
82¢$70
83¢$118
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 70%Sells 30%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Buy | 28¢ | 47 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 72¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 72¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 28¢ | 7 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 27¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 27¢ | 0 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 27¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 28¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 28¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 27¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 27¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 27¢ | 25 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 27¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 28¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 31¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 30¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 69¢ | 18 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 31¢ | 55 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 31¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 31¢ | 35 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 68¢ | 18 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 68¢ | 18 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 31¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 31¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 33¢ | 48 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 66¢ | 18 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 33¢ | 30 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 31¢ | 33 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 69¢ | 33 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 28¢ | 43 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 28¢ | 43 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 74¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 26¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 27¢ | 30 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 73¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 73¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 75¢ | 133 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 25¢ | 99 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 25¢ | 14 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 25¢ | 36 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 25¢ | 36 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 25¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 25¢ | 14 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 25¢ | 36 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 75¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 25¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 27¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 73¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 25¢ | 20 |
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