← Dashboard · Geopolitics
Updated 5 min. ago

12 %
chance
Total volume
$19.4K
24h vol.
$7K
1w vol.
$18.5K
1m vol.
$19K
Liquidity
$8.3K
Bid / Ask
11¢ / 12¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
11¢
Start date
Jul 13, 2026
End date
Jun 30, 2027
ends in 11 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 75 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 75 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 55 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 55 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 121 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 121 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 59 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 59 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 150 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 150 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 21 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 10 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 11 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 12 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 7 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 5 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 11 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 9 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 4,085 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 8 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 228 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 205 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 60 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 50 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 55 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 21 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 200 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 30 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 741 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 200 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 21 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 25 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 370 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 25 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 21 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 41 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 89 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 265 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 121 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.