← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 3 min. ago

11 %
chance
Total volume
$803K
24h vol.
$37K
1w vol.
$433.6K
1m vol.
$803K
Liquidity
$92.2K
Bid / Ask
10¢ / 11¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
9¢
Start date
Jul 13, 2026
End date
Aug 31, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 min. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 666 |
| 57 min. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 666 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 214 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 202 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 12 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 465 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 465 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 145 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 25 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 120 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 82 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 82 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 665 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 557 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 15 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 83 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 17 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 17 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 3,339 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 1,500 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 200 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 200 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 1,000 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 439 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 350 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 350 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 30 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 30 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 500 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 500 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 1,064 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 986 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 78 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 170 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 170 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 8 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 8 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 2,787 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 600 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 13 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 35 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 30 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 50 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 2,000 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 31 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 28 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 24 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 24 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 200 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.