← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 9 hr. ago

43 %
chance
Total volume
$314.8K
24h vol.
$18.8K
1w vol.
$170.9K
1m vol.
$314.8K
Liquidity
$70.9K
Bid / Ask
42¢ / 43¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
43¢
Start date
Jul 13, 2026
End date
Aug 31, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 500 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 100 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 400 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 9 |
| 23 hr. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 9 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 57 |
| 23 hr. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 57 |
| 24 hr. ago | Sell | 52¢ | 600 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 130 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 200 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 20 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 250 |
| 24 hr. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 2,474 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 66 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 600 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 500 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 1,000 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 20 |
| 24 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 287 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 47¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 47¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 53¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 47¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 54¢ | 185 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 54¢ | 185 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 53¢ | 4 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 47¢ | 4 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 46¢ | 180 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 54¢ | 180 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 47¢ | 180 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 47¢ | 180 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 47¢ | 300 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 47¢ | 300 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 54¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 54¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 53¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 47¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 53¢ | 0 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 47¢ | 0 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 54¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 54¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 47¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 47¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 53¢ | 7 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 47¢ | 7 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 53¢ | 68 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 47¢ | 68 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 46¢ | 18 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 54¢ | 18 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 47¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.