← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 2 wk. ago
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Other
30 %
chance
▼ −11.0%24h▼ −5.5%1W
Yes 30¢No 71¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
3 outcomes- December 31, 202691 %
- September 30, 202670 %
- July 31, 202630 %
Total volume
$205.3K
24h vol.
$12.5K
1w vol.
$101.9K
1m vol.
$205.3K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Bid / Ask
29¢ / 30¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
30¢
Start date
Jun 19, 2026
End date
Jul 31, 2026
ends in 2 days
Data currently unavailable.
Data currently unavailable.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades
No trades available.
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.