← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 3 days ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Other
9 %
chance
▲ +2.0%1h▲ +0.5%24h▲ +1.5%1W
Yes 9¢No 91¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
3 outcomes- December 3141 %
- October 3119 %
- August 319 %
Total volume
$310.6K
24h vol.
$14.4K
1w vol.
$72.1K
1m vol.
$292.8K
Liquidity
$30.9K
Bid / Ask
8¢ / 10¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
9¢
Start date
Jun 19, 2026
End date
Aug 31, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
Data currently unavailable.
Data currently unavailable.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades
No trades available.
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.