← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 min. ago
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
Politics
41 %
chance
▲ +0.5%1h▲ +3.5%24h▼ −13.0%1W
Yes 41¢No 59¢
Total volume
$144.1K
24h vol.
$43.9K
1w vol.
$115.1K
1m vol.
$140.3K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
40¢ / 42¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
40¢
Start date
Jun 10, 2026
End date
Aug 30, 2026
ends in 3 hr.
Orderbook
Spread: 5¢Bids (buy)Size
35¢$5
34¢$25
33¢$33
28¢$18
26¢$30
25¢$36
24¢$48
23¢$110
18¢$20
17¢$25
Asks (sell)Size
40¢$15
41¢$63
42¢$165
43¢$693
44¢$540
45¢$200
46¢$409
47¢$638
48¢$15
50¢$260
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 39%Sells 61%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 19 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 7 |
| 17 min. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 5 |
| 17 min. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 7 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 45 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 30 |
| 17 min. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 5 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 10 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 5 |
| 18 min. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 5 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 32 |
| 20 min. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 27 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 5 |
| 20 min. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 70 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 70 |
| 29 min. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 2 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 2 |
| 29 min. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 610 |
| 29 min. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 380 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 10 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 10 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 10 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 200 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 4 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 4 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 2 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 2 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 2 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 2 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 49 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 23 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 10 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 16 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 100 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 55¢ | 100 |
| 38 min. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 100 |
| 38 min. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 100 |
| 38 min. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 15 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 52¢ | 15 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 15 |
| 39 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 10 |
| 39 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 5 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 3 |
| 39 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 3 |
| 39 min. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 2 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 2 |
| 40 min. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 19 |
| 40 min. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 19 |
| 40 min. ago | Sell | 55¢ | 29 |
| 40 min. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 29 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.