← Dashboard · Politics
Updated just now
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Economy
2 %
chance
▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢
Fed Decision in September?
5 outcomes- 25 bps increase56 %
- No change40 %
- 25 bps decrease4 %
- 50+ bps decrease2 %
Total volume
$693.4K
24h vol.
$61.4K
1w vol.
$98.4K
1m vol.
$496.8K
Liquidity
$96.7K
Bid / Ask
2¢ / 2¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
May 13, 2026
End date
Sep 16, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Bids (buy)Size
2¢$52,629
2¢$59,835
2¢$61,884
2¢$66,817
1¢$70,500
1¢$1,735
1¢$12,226
1¢$8,945
1¢$4,321
1¢$5,532
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$20
2¢$550
3¢$580
3¢$76
3¢$1,027
3¢$1,500
4¢$35
4¢$30
4¢$858
4¢$2,569
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 100%Sells 0%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 300 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 300 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 654 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 654 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 9 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 9 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 74 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 54 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5,545 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 400 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5,125 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 200 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 200 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 275 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 275 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 25 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 25 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 7 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 7 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 9 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 9 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 10 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 10 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 10 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 10 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 274 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 274 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 10 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.