← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 4 min. ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Other
54 %
chance
▼ −3.0%24h▲ +2.0%1W
Yes 54¢No 47¢
Total volume
$6.3M
24h vol.
$109.8K
1w vol.
$659.5K
1m vol.
$3.1M
Liquidity
$301.1K
Bid / Ask
53¢ / 54¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
53¢
Start date
May 11, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 5 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Bids (buy)Size
53¢$15,360
52¢$7,335
51¢$30,866
50¢$22,118
49¢$32,546
48¢$16,786
47¢$200
46¢$675
45¢$1,458
44¢$200
Asks (sell)Size
54¢$17,819
55¢$37,413
56¢$50,792
57¢$86,497
58¢$7,075
59¢$1,270
60¢$1,810
61¢$3,600
62¢$481
63¢$2,248
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 33%Sells 67%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 11 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 11 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 771 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 771 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 15 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 15 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 2,200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 2,200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 426 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 426 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 4 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 4 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 20 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 20 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 11 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 11 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 139 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 139 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 189 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 189 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 185 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 185 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 21 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 11 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 10 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 500 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 500 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 332 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 318 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 7 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 6 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 50 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 50 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 3 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 3 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 10 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 10 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 20 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 20 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 490 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 490 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 10 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 10 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 64 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 64 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 0 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 0 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 7 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.