← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 3 wk. ago
Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Politics
3 %
chance
▲ +2.2%1h▼ −0.8%24h▼ −2.1%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
6 outcomes- National Party72 %
- Labour Party28 %
- New Zealand First Party3 %
- Te Pāti Māori1 %
Total volume
$863.754
24h vol.
$52.751
1w vol.
$164.111
1m vol.
$362.38
Liquidity
$7.1K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 6¢
Spread 5¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Apr 29, 2026
End date
Nov 7, 2026
ends in 3 mo.
Data currently unavailable.
Data currently unavailable.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades
No trades available.
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.