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Updated 4 days ago

46 %
chance
Total volume
$75.9K
24h vol.
$7.1K
1w vol.
$25.7K
1m vol.
$61.7K
Liquidity
$33.9K
Bid / Ask
45¢ / 46¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
46¢
Start date
May 1, 2026
End date
Oct 27, 2026
ends in 3 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 days ago | Sell | 43¢ | 12 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 57¢ | 12 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 56¢ | 9 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 44¢ | 9 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 43¢ | 11 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 57¢ | 11 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 57¢ | 4 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 43¢ | 4 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 44¢ | 11 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 56¢ | 11 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 44¢ | 300 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 56¢ | 134 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 44¢ | 94 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 44¢ | 72 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 44¢ | 100 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 44¢ | 15 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 44¢ | 85 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 44¢ | 75 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 44¢ | 75 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 44¢ | 25 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 44¢ | 25 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 48 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 48 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 40 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 40 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 8 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 8 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 34 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 21 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 13 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 81 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 30 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 40 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 11 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 11 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 45 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 40 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 40 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 13 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 13 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.