← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 3 wk. ago
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Politics
93 %
chance
▲ +0.5%1h▲ +47.5%24h▲ +70.5%1W
Yes 93¢No 7¢
2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate
3 outcomes- Marine Le Pen93 %
- Jordan Bardella0 %
- Multiple Candidates0 %
Total volume
$91.2K
24h vol.
$63.4K
1w vol.
$87.8K
1m vol.
$89.9K
Liquidity
$36.1K
Bid / Ask
92¢ / 94¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
92¢
Start date
May 1, 2026
End date
Apr 23, 2027
ends in 9 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Bids (buy)Size
92¢$81
91¢$596
90¢$2,943
89¢$1,733
88¢$717
87¢$630
85¢$50
83¢$359
80¢$14
73¢$16
Asks (sell)Size
94¢$175
95¢$7,879
96¢$4,603
97¢$576
98¢$2,697
99¢$9,232
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 87%Sells 13%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 30 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 30 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 30 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 30 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 60 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 17 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 30 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 13 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 6 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 6 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 280 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 29 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 32 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 100 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 119 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 63 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 63 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 50 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 30 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 107 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 7 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 100 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 12 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 12 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 12 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 12 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 15 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 7 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 7 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 8 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 28 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 28 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 13 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 8 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.