← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 wk. ago
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Politics
16 %
chance
▲ +0.0%24h▼ −3.5%1W
Yes 16¢No 85¢
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
20 outcomesTotal volume
$998.754
24h vol.
$20
1w vol.
$190.65
1m vol.
$734.917
Liquidity
$9.1K
Bid / Ask
15¢ / 16¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
16¢
Start date
Apr 22, 2026
End date
Apr 23, 2027
ends in 9 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Bids (buy)Size
15¢$467
14¢$1,287
13¢$309
12¢$5
11¢$50
10¢$100
9¢$67
8¢$44
7¢$6
6¢$20
Asks (sell)Size
16¢$387
17¢$403
18¢$30
22¢$5
23¢$16
24¢$9
25¢$56
31¢$10
34¢$25
53¢$5
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 65%Sells 35%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 15 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 29 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 29 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 29 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 29 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 13 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 13 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 14 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 14 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 41 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 24 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 12 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 12 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 37 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 2 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 16 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 4 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 8 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 8 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 1 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.