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Updated 6 days ago
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?
Politics
12 %
chance
▲ +0.4%1h▲ +5.2%24h▲ +7.4%1W
Yes 12¢No 88¢
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
11 outcomes- Lula da Silva 5-10%30 %
- Lula da Silva <5%19 %
- Lula da Silva 10-15%18 %
- Lula da Silva 15%+
Total volume
$10K
24h vol.
$1.3K
1w vol.
$1.9K
1m vol.
$3.7K
Liquidity
$22.1K
Bid / Ask
10¢ / 13¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
10¢
Start date
Feb 11, 2026
End date
Oct 4, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Bids (buy)Size
10¢$45
9¢$51
9¢$16
8¢$165
6¢$16
6¢$100
6¢$84
3¢$5
3¢$120
3¢$15
Asks (sell)Size
14¢$5
16¢$34
16¢$127
19¢$12
19¢$39
20¢$30
20¢$500
21¢$10
21¢$9
27¢$11
Snapshot from cache
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uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 85%Sells 15%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 days ago | Sell | 89¢ | 150 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 150 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 91¢ | 10 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 10 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 1,158 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 23 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 14¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 87¢ | 30 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 87¢ | 30 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 88¢ | 200 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 88¢ | 50 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 6 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 11¢ | 65 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 9¢ | 51 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 91¢ | 51 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 91¢ | 300 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 249 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 36 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 8¢ | 52 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 82 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 52 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 30 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 12 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 12 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 28 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 28 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 28 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 28 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 75 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 4 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 21 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 30 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 30 |
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