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Updated 3 days ago

78 %
chance
Total volume
$206.6K
24h vol.
$4.6K
1w vol.
$25.2K
1m vol.
$124.6K
Liquidity
$31.2K
Bid / Ask
77¢ / 79¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
77¢
Start date
Feb 11, 2026
End date
Oct 4, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 14 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 14 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 86 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 86 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 635 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 635 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 35 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 35 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 1,547 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 86 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 24 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 635 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 68 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 300 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 24 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 17 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 13 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 600 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 520 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 79 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 49 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 21 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 28 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 451 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 352 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 18 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 51 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 451 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 280 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 49 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 102 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 6 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.