← Dashboard · Tech
Updated 3 wk. ago
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Other
24 %
chance
▲ +0.0%24h▼ −1.0%1W
Yes 24¢No 77¢
Total volume
$273.5K
Liquidity
$2.9K
Bid / Ask
23¢ / 24¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
25¢
Start date
Jan 2, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 5 mo.
Data currently unavailable.
Data currently unavailable.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades
No trades available.
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.